Looking beyond Florida, the situation should be good for Rudy Giuliani. February 5th’s massive burst of primaries includes huge states like California, New York, and New Jersey. But recent polling shows just how much trouble Giuliani is actually in.
Polling averages put Giuliani in second in Florida, fourth in California, and now he’s even trailing John McCain in his home state of New York. The big state advantage for Giuliani has been erased. Moderates and those looking for a candidate strong on terrorism have shifted their support to McCain in droves.
The “waiting for Florida” strategy has been widely cited in the media, but the reality is that Rudy did campaign in New Hampshire and some other early states. It might have been half-hearted, but resources were spent and the fact that he’s failed to crack 10% in any contest is telling.
The Giuliani campaign is holding out that a Florida victory could turn everything around. That may be true, but anything short of outright victory will leave the former New York mayor low on funds and with no place to turn.
Leave a Reply