The South Carolina primary today is not quite as important for Democrats as it was for Republicans on January 19, but the contest could go a long way toward deciding who that party’s nominee will be.

Barack Obama has been leading most polls by a wide margin, but the real battle might be for second place. John Edwards, declared dead by the media, has been crawling back into this race bit-by-bit. Polling shows that he’s creeping up behind Hillary Clinton and could score an upset second place finish.
That would give Edwards a little bit of a boost, but it would really damage Clinton. Her victories so far have been unconvincing, and have only just made up for her third place finish in Iowa. A third place showing in South Carolina could really hurt her going into Florida (where she can’t even campaign) and the Super Tuesday states.
If, somehow, Obama wins a big victory in South Carolina tonight… that momentum could carry him to a surprise win in Florida and make it really hard for Hillary to get back on the horse.
We’ll just have to wait and see what happens.


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